Stock-Technical-Analysis-Report-Tesla-20250817

Posted on Views: Word count in article: 773 Reading time ≈ 3 mins.

1. Trend Analysis (Including Support and Resistance Levels)

  • Overall Trend: The technical summary indicates an upward trend for TSLA, supported by recent price movements that have consistently stayed above key moving averages (MA5, MA20, MA60). This suggests a bullish bias in the short to medium term.

  • Support Levels:

    • Immediate support is at $323.28 (BB_middle on 2025-08-14).
    • Secondary support lies at $318.97 (BB_middle on 2025-08-08), which coincides with the MA20 line.
    • A strong long-term support zone exists around $315.00, where the MA60 has stabilized over the past two weeks.

  • Resistance Levels:

    • Immediate resistance is at $339.03 (closing price on 2025-08-11).
    • Secondary resistance is near $345.26 (high on 2025-08-12), which marks a recent peak.
    • A significant psychological resistance level could be at $350.00, as it represents a round number and potential profit-taking zone.

2. Volume Analysis and Its Implications

  • Volume Trend: The volume trend is decreasing, as indicated by the technical summary. However, there are notable spikes in volume during upward price movements (e.g., on 2025-08-11 and 2025-08-12), suggesting institutional or retail interest during rallies.

  • Volume Ratio: The Volume Ratio (current volume vs. average volume) is below 1 for most days, indicating subdued trading activity. However, this could also mean consolidation before another breakout.

  • Implications: Decreasing volume amid an upward trend may signal caution, as it reflects weaker participation from buyers. Nonetheless, the presence of volume spikes during rallies supports the idea of accumulation zones forming at higher levels.

3. Risk Assessment (Including Volatility Analysis)

  • Volatility: The stock’s volatility stands at 3.47%, which is relatively moderate compared to historical levels. Over the last 14 days, volatility has ranged between 3.46% and 4.42%, indicating controlled price swings despite occasional sharp moves.

  • ATR (Average True Range): The ATR value of 11.46 (as of 2025-08-15) implies that daily price fluctuations typically range within approximately $11.46. This can help set stop-loss levels and gauge intraday risk.

  • Risk Factors:

    • The RSI is currently at 53.43, which is neutral but slightly bullish. However, if it rises above 70, the stock could enter overbought territory, increasing downside risks.
    • The MACD histogram remains positive, signaling continued buying momentum, but any divergence between MACD and price action should be monitored closely.

4. Short-Term and Medium-Term Target Price Levels

  • Short-Term Targets:

    • Immediate upside target: $340.00–$345.00 (based on prior highs and BB_upper bands).
    • Downside target: $323.00–$325.00 (near BB_middle and MA20).

  • Medium-Term Targets:

    • Upside target: $350.00–$360.00 (psychological resistance and extension of the uptrend).
    • Downside target: $315.00–$320.00 (long-term support zone aligned with MA60).

5. Analysis of Key Technical Levels

  • Moving Averages (MA):

    • MA5 ($333.27) > MA20 ($325.20) > MA60 ($318.89)—all trending upward, confirming the bullish bias.
    • Crossovers of shorter MAs above longer ones (e.g., MA5 crossing MA20) reinforce the upward momentum.

  • RSI:

    • At 53.43, the RSI indicates neither overbought nor oversold conditions. It suggests room for further upside without immediate exhaustion.

  • MACD:

    • The MACD line ($4.58) is above the Signal line ($2.54), generating a “BUY” signal. The widening gap between these lines points to strengthening bullish momentum.

  • Bollinger Bands (BB):

    • Prices are consolidating toward the middle band ($323.32), suggesting potential retests of lower levels before resuming the uptrend.
    • Breakouts above the upper band ($347.28) would indicate strong buying pressure.

6. Specific Trading Recommendations (Including Stop-Loss Point)

  • Entry Point: Consider entering near $330.00–$332.00, close to the current price and supported by the MA5.

  • Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below the immediate support level at $322.00–$323.00. This minimizes losses if the uptrend reverses.

  • Take-Profit Levels:

    • First target: $340.00–$345.00.
    • Second target: $350.00–$360.00.

  • Position Sizing: Allocate only 2-3% of total portfolio capital to manage risk effectively.

7. Current Trading Strategies Based on Real-Time Technical Indicator Analysis

JSON

1{ 2 "stock_code": "105.TSLA", 3 "market_type": "US", 4 "analysis_date": "2025-08-17", 5 "score": 70, 6 "price": 330.56, 7 "price_change": -1.495917515942542, 8 "ma_trend": "UP", 9 "rsi": 53.42616848200747, 10 "macd_signal": "BUY", 11 "volume_status": "NORMAL", 12 "recommendation": "Recommended to buy", 13 "strategy": { 14 "entry_point": 330.0, 15 "stop_loss": 322.0, 16 "target_1": 340.0, 17 "target_2": 350.0, 18 "risk_management": "Limit position size to 2-3% of portfolio.", 19 "additional_notes": "Monitor MACD for signs of divergence; avoid chasing prices above $345.00." 20 } 21}

Summary of Key Insights:

  • Bullish Bias: The upward trend is intact, supported by rising moving averages and positive MACD signals.
  • Moderate Volatility: Current volatility allows for controlled risk management using ATR-based stop-losses.
  • Trading Plan: Buy near $330.00 with a stop-loss at $322.00 and targets at $340.00 and $350.00.

This structured approach ensures disciplined trading while leveraging favorable technical setups.