Stock-Technical-Analysis-Report-Nvidia-20250831

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1.Trend Analysis (Including Support and Resistance Levels)

Overall Trend:
The technical summary indicates an “upward” trend, supported by the increasing volume trend and rising Moving Averages (MA5, MA20, and MA60). However, recent price action shows a significant decline of -3.32% on 2025-08-29, which suggests short-term weakness.

Support Levels:

  • Immediate support: $173.145 (the low of the last trading day)
  • Secondary support: $167.05 (lower Bollinger Band as of 2025-08-12)

Resistance Levels:

  • Immediate resistance: $178.15 (high of the last trading day)
  • Secondary resistance: $184.48 (high from 2025-08-12)

2. Volume Analysis and Its Implications

Volume Trend:
The volume has been increasing over the last few days, especially noticeable on 2025-08-28 and 2025-08-29 with volumes surpassing 240 million shares. This surge in volume during a downward price movement often indicates strong selling pressure or distribution.

Implications:

  • High volume sell-offs can signal that large institutional investors are exiting their positions.
  • The increasing volume trend supports the upward trend but recent high volume declines suggest potential short-term bearish sentiment.

3. Risk Assessment (Including Volatility Analysis)

Volatility:

  • Current volatility is at 2.94%, slightly higher than the average observed in the past data points.
  • The Average True Range (ATR) has increased to 5.125, indicating heightened price fluctuations.

Risk Assessment:

  • The RSI level is at 35.74, nearing oversold territory, suggesting a potential reversal or stabilization soon.
  • The high volatility and recent sharp drop indicate elevated risk, warranting caution in new positions.

4. Short-term and Medium-term Target Price Levels

Short-term Targets:

  • Immediate downside target: $170.00 (if the current support breaks)
  • Upside target: $178.15 (resistance level)

Medium-term Targets:

  • Upside target: $184.48 (previous high)
  • Downside target: $167.05 (long-term support based on Bollinger Bands)

5. Analysis of Key Technical Levels

Key Levels:

  • Moving Averages:
    • MA5: $178.16
    • MA20: $177.86
    • MA60: $165.96
  • MACD:
    • MACD line: 2.106
    • Signal line: 3.208
    • Histogram: -1.101 (indicating bearish momentum)

Bollinger Bands:

  • Upper Band: $185.20
  • Middle Band: $179.70
  • Lower Band: $174.20

RSI:

  • At 35.74, approaching oversold levels, suggesting a potential bounce back.

6. Specific Trading Recommendations (Including Stop-loss Point)

Recommendations:

  • Buy Recommendation: Given the recommendation to buy despite recent declines, consider entering a position near current levels or on a rebound.
  • Stop-loss Point: Place a stop-loss just below the recent low at $173.145 to limit downside risk.

7. Current Trading Strategies Based on Real-time Technical Indicator Analysis

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{ "stock_code": "105.NVDA", 
  "market_type": "US", 
  "analysis_date": "2025-08-31", 
  "score": 65, 
  "price": 174.18, 
  "price_change": -3.3246378420380647, 
  "ma_trend": "UP", 
  "rsi": 35.74529667149062, 
  "macd_signal": "SELL", 
  "volume_status": "NORMAL", 
  "recommendation": "Recommended to buy", 
  "strategy": { 
  "entry_point": 174.18, 
  "target_price_short_term": 178.15,
  "target_price_medium_term": 184.48, 
  "stop_loss": 173.145, 
  "risk_management": "Position size should be adjusted to account for the current volatility and potential further downside." } 
  }

Summary of Strategy:

  • Entry Point: $174.18 (current price)
  • Short-term Target: $178.15
  • Medium-term Target: $184.48
  • Stop-loss: $173.145
  • Risk Management: Due to high volatility, adjust position sizes accordingly and monitor closely for any breakout or breakdown signals.

This strategy leverages the current upward trend indicated by moving averages while being cautious of recent high-volume sell-offs and an approaching oversold RSI condition.